Macro Overview — Stock Market Reversal Timing

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Date · Bear · Bull

DateBearBull3-pt
Click a row to see which tickers fired, grouped by sector.

S&P 500 (SPY)

Divergence count — bull above, bear below

Bull divergences (plotted upward) Bear divergences (plotted downward)

Theme rotation — where capital is flowing

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Basket return is a tail-trimmed mean of members' window returns, so one runaway name can't fake a theme; arrows show the change in rank since the prior window. Click a tile to see its tickers ranked by return. Descriptive only — a leadership readout, deliberately kept out of the reversal score.

By timeframe

Reversal score history

Confirmed (all timeframes) Early (1d only)
The gap between the two lines is the confirmation lag, made visible.

What is driving today's score

Macro instruments

VXX and EWY are ETF proxies for VIX and KOSPI. VXX decays structurally, so its level is not comparable across years — it is scored by trailing percentile only. EWY trades US hours, so unlike the KOSPI itself it is coincident rather than leading.

Market breadth

Two panels rather than two y-axes: "% above 50-DMA" spans 0–80 and "% at new 52-week lows" rarely exceeds 5, so sharing an axis would flatten the second series into the baseline.
% making new 52-week lows